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Singapore to Showcase Innovative Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning (RAHS) System
Date of Release : 01 Feb 2007
 · Addressing national security threats through Networked Government
·  Curtain raiser to the International RAHS Symposium, 19-20 March 2007

1 February 2007, Singapore
- Senior representatives from the National Security Coordination Secretariat (NSCS), the Centre of Excellence for National Security (CENS) and Defence Science & Technology Agency (DSTA) together with Cognitive Edge, one of the principal consultants to the Singapore RAHS project today revealed more details about the RAHS system, an innovative system that facilitates early detection of strategic threats to national security. The system is developed by the National Security Coordination Centre (NSCC), in collaboration with The Arlington Institute, Cognitive Edge, DSTA and DSO National Laboratories.

Mr Patrick Nathan, Deputy Director NSCC, Prime Minister's Office said, "This is a significant milestone for Singapore. We are breaking new grounds in national security with our RAHS system, which is a coordinated and networked approach to a changing threat environment. Our hope is for Government agencies to network through the system, for the purpose of anticipating emerging trends and patterns. While the RAHS system is currently focused on threats to national security, the eventual aim is for it to be also used in other domains, such as to forecast economic trends."

Plans are in place to roll out the RAHS system later this year.

A working version of the RAHS system will be unveiled to invited practitioners, academics, technologists and futurists at the inaugural two-day International RAHS symposium to be held in Singapore this March. The symposium will feature a stellar international list of presenters to explain the concepts, methods and technology behind risk assessment and horizon scanning. International presenters hail from renowned institutions and companies globally, such as the Institute for the Future, Center for Terrorism and Intelligence Studies, Stanford Research Institute, British Aerospace, Hewlett Packard, IBM, Nokia and Siemens.

"Many of the security threats in recent years have resulted from a combination of agencies working in silos and a lack of information sharing amongst agencies. In today's uncertain and complex geo-political and business environment, there is a need for a networked approach to detect weak signals of major turning events that could have a serious impact on a country's security, resilience and prosperity," said Dr David Snowden, Founder and Chief Scientific Officer, Cognitive Edge. Cognitive Edge's role as one of the principal consultants to RAHS is to apply Cynefin concepts and methodologies to make Networked Government a reality.

Some of the latest technology employed in the RAHS system allow for model-building, monitoring, weak signal detection and pattern analysis. Integrating traditional scenario planning frameworks with innovative thought models like the Cynefin concepts pioneered by Cognitive Edge ensures that the system is robust and able to handle a diverse spectrum of threats.

Dr How Khee Yin, Deputy Director, Directorate of Research and Development, DSTA said, "Technology is a key enabler of the RAHS system. It was developed to augment human analytical capabilities, and to foster multi-agency collaboration in the early identification of possible threats that may have a devastating impact on Singapore."


The media release was released by the National Security Coordination Secretariat (NSCS).

About the National Security Coordination Secretariat (NSCS)

In line with a whole-of-government approach to tackling transnational terrorism, the National Security Coordination Secretariat (NSCS) was established at the Prime Minister's Office in July 2004 to coordinate national security policy and planning, and strategic counter-terrorism intelligence issues. Led by a Permanent Secretary for National Security and Intelligence Coordination, the Secretariat supports a ministerial-level Security Policy Review Committee chaired by the Coordinating Minister for National Security.

NSCS comprises two key agencies, namely the National Security Coordination Centre (NSCC) and the Joint Counter Terrorism Centre (JCTC). NSCC focuses on national security policy coordination and planning. This includes scanning the horizon to identify potential new threats and challenges, and providing the necessary alerts and updates for the development of effective prevention, protection and consequence management measures.

About the Centre of Excellence for National Security (CENS)

The Centre of Excellence for National Security is a research unit within the S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS) at Nanyang Technological University, Singapore. Established on 1 April 2006, CENS is devoted to a rigorous policy -relevant analysis of a range of national security issues. The CENS team is multinational in composition, comprising both Singaporean and foreign analysts who are specialists in various aspects of national and homeland security affairs. CENS conducts research in three key areas of national security; Risk Assessment / Horizon Scanning, Social Resilience and, Transportation Security.   

About the Defence Science & Technology Agency

The Defence Science & Technology Agency (DSTA) was established on 15 March 2000 as the first statutory board of the Ministry of Defence. DSTA explores and exploits cutting-edge technologies, whether military or commercial, and fosters an environment of creativity and innovation in developing defence applications. DSTA also manages complex defence science and technology programmes and conduct research and development, in multi-disciplinary areas ranging from engineering to information technology.

In addition, DSTA collaborates actively with local and global partners to augment Singapore defence and security capabilities. Apart from our strong links with the local universities, research institutes and defence industries, we have also established an extensive international network of partners in various countries.


For more information, please contact: 


Jocelyn Ng
Tel: 6347 2319/ 9431 6141/ Email : jocelyn.ng@edelman.com 

Kelvin Lee
Tel: 6347 2320/ 9782 0846/ Email: kelvin.lee@edelman.com 

National Security Coordination Secretariat (NSCS):

Ann Chan
Tel: 6325 9443 / Email:  ann_chan @nscs.gov.sg

S.Rajaratnam School of International Studies (RSIS):

Luenne Choa
Tel: 6790 4209/ Email: iscpchoa@ntu.edu.sg 

Defence Science & Technology Agency (DSTA)

Mary Chan
Tel : 6879 5096/ Email : mary_chan@dsta.gov.sg

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